CE2COAST


Title                              Downscaling Climate and Ocean Change to Services: Thresholds and Opportunities

Lead PI                        Richard BELLERBY, Norwegian Institute for Water Research - NIVA

Partner PIs                  Jerry Tjipura, Norwegian Research Centre AS - NORCE
                                      Marilaure GREGOIRE,  Université de Liège - ULiege
                                      Boris Dewitte, Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement - IRD- UMR LEGOS 
                                      Tomasz Dabrowski, Marine Institute 
                                      Rachel Cave, National University of Ireland  Galway - NUIG
                                      Solveig Rosa Olafsdottir, Marine and Freshwater Research Institute - MFRI
                                      Momme Butenschön, Fondazione CMCC - Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici 
                                      Juris Aigars, University of Daugavpils agency Latvian Institute of Aquatic Ecology - LFEI
                                      Daiga Cepite-Frisfelde, University of Latvia - UL
                                      Marcos Mateus, IST University Lisbon
                                      Jose Moutinho, AD AIR Centre - Associação para o Associação para o desenvolvimento do Atlantic      International Research centre
                                     
Funding countries        France, Belgium, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Norway, Portugal


Abstract
Global change will have significant impacts at regional and coastal scales on marine systems, dependent socioeconomic systems, ocean services and can strongly interact with regional pressures. CE2COAST delivers transnational added value through strategically combining national expertise across oceanography, marine biogeochemistry and ecology, data and database management, earth system, marine and ecosystem modelling and science policy communication. The primary novelty of will be an observation-driven synthesis of downscaling methodology to provide better process resolution and system representations that are tailored to regional/coastal domains and their associated pressures/services. It will compile and analyze new targeted, fit-for-purpose marine observations datasets from existing and new project observations of ocean climate, biogeochemistry and relevant ecological indicators. We will deliver Earth System Model simulations from the CMIP archive that will be downscaled for hindcasting and projecting physical and biogeochemical fields in the regional and coastal ocean providing past/future states and climate change signals. A capacity to understand and predict these impacts on regional seas and coasts is essential for developing robust strategies for adaptation and mitigation. To inform adaptation policy to ocean and coastal change, we will deliver key new knowledge to end-users through dissemination activities. We will integrate stakeholder clusters in project-long decision making for co-production of relevant science products for specific scientific, management, regulatory, industrial and ocean service applicable assessments to deliver an integrated European evaluation of marine health. It will contribute knowledge crucial to reducing economic, scientific and social disparity across Europe. We will encourage knowledge transfer through common goals with a focus on JPI Climate and Oceans, IPCC, UN SDGs, MSP, CFP, MSFD, WFD and the Arctic Council.