Spring Forecast for Portugal
Fig. 1 shows the results of the seasonal forecasts of GCFS2.0 downscaled for Portugal with the EPISODES method (Kreienkamp et al., 2018).
The upper row shows the deviations of the February forecast 2020 from hindcast mean (temperature, left) and from hindcast median, respectively (precipitation, right). The results are averaged for the upcoming months (March, April and May). The model shows a warm anomaly over the whole of Portugal with a slightly stronger warming in the north eastern part of the country. The forecasts of precipitation mostly show a dry trend with some patches of wet signals in the very south of the country.
Regarding the forecasts, the hindcast model skill always needs to be taken into account: the lower row of Fig. 1 shows a quality measure of the forecasts in the past (1995-2017). For temperature (down left), this quality is low with values around zero or even negative values. Precipitation (down right) instead shows some patches with higher quality in the middle of Portugal.
Seasonal Runoff Forecast for the Uper Danube region
You can find the Seasonal Runoff Forecast for the Uper Danube region here.
Clim2power Advisory and User Board Meetings at DWD Headquarters, Offenbach
Clim2power’s Project Advisory Board Meeting was held on 26 and 27 February 2020, project partners met on Wednesday 26 February to discuss recent and future developments of Clim2power’s research activities and outputs. As the project reaches its final stage, the consortium coordinates efforts to maximise the impact of the data, information and knowledge generated since the beginning of Clim2power, in September 2017.
On Thursday 27 February, the members of the Advisor Board provided timely guidance on how to better develop and exploit the results of these almost 3 years of work, during the 2nd Annual Advisory Board Meeting. The consortium thanks them for their advice and support.
During these intense 2 days at DWD, we discussed the energy indicator results for Europe within Clim2power’s web-based Climate Service for both the seasonal and long-term cases, the climate, hydrological and energy system model developments, and a shared strategy for end-user engagement.
Factsheet on Climate Modelling
This factsheet was co-designed by partners to engage with high-schools students. A downloadable version of this document in Portuguese is already available in our website, and another version in German will be published soon.